Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes picks, predictions
The Super Bowl is all about the props, but right now we’re talking about the players.
Betting on events to occur in the Super Bowl is where things get really interesting as bettors put together same-game-parlays and more.
I would advise you to not go the parlay route here, but instead bet on these player props individually and don’t wager a full unit on the long-shot side of these.
Your best bet is to wager enough to win one unit on the short side of these and a quarter unit or less on the long-shot side.
Take a look below at some of the best player props I’m targeting in Super Bowl 2025 this year.
2025 Super Bowl player props picks and predictions
Jalen Hurts Over 18.5 competitions (+102, FanDuel) | 26+ (+1920, DraftKings)
The Super Bowl should be a highly competitive matchup where, sure, Saquon Barkley dominates plenty of the action.
But don’t think Jalen Hurts has completely forgotten how to throw the ball.
Philadelphia’s signal caller has crossed the high side of this number just once this season, while the low side was beaten just last week against the Commanders.
In a game where the Chiefs are projected to win and the spread being small, Hurts should have reason to throw.
Hurts completed 27 passes during Super Bowl 2023, so there’s a shot that this mega long shot hits. Don’t expect it to, though, since this is a lottery ticket-type bet.
The real value is on the Over 18.5 completions, a bet that has hit in 13 straight games against the Chiefs, an incredible number even when factoring in the run-first Eagles.
With Kansas City having yielded at least 19 completions in every game since Week 7, we’re targeting the Over.
This will very likely hit on the short side, so long as the Eagles don’t get an overly positive game script Sunday.
Patrick Mahomes Over 27.5 rushing yards (-112, BetRivers) | Anytime touchdown scorer (+400, FanDuel) | Over 5.5 rush attempts (-105, Fanatics Sportsbook)
Patrick Mahomes has been extremely active with his legs in the playoffs this year, running seven times against the Texans and 11 times versus the Bills.
Mahomes also ran for two touchdowns against Buffalo.
This is a trend we have been on for a while, as Mahomes ran six times for 44 yards against the Eagles in Super Bowl 2023.
Betting on the NFL?
In 18 playoff games since 2019, Mahomes has averaged 5.7 rush attempts per game and 31.2 rushing yards per game, and he’s now run for a touchdown once every three playoff games.
Mahomes’ rushing prop of 27.5 on BetRivers is a good bet this weekend, as well as his attempts, which you can get almost everywhere at 5.5.
His anytime touchdown scorer (+400) bet has some value as well.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
